Case Shiller Price Index- March 09

(May 26, 2009 Release)

Highlights

  • The Case-Shiller 10-city index fell 18.6 percent in March compared to a year earlier.
  • The Case-Shiller 20-city index fell 18.7 percent in March compared to a year earlier.
  • All of the 20 metros reported annual rates of decline.
Case-Shiller Home Price Index, SA
  March 09 Yr/Yr % Change
Atlanta 104.9 -15.7
Boston 145.8 -8.0
Charlotte 119.3 -9.3
Chicago 122.3 -18.6
Cleveland 96.7 -9.0
Dallas 112.4 -5.6
Denver 120.3 -5.5
Detroit 71.0 -25.7
Las Vegas 116.4 -31.2
Los Angeles 160.9 -22.3
Miami 148.9 -28.7
Minneapolis 109.1 -23.3
New York 173.3 -11.8
Phoenix 106.8 -36.0
Portland 147.7 -15.3
San Diego 144.6 -22.0
San Francisco 117.8 -30.1
Seattle 149.0 -16.4
Tampa 141.4 -22.4
Washington 166.0 -18.4
Composite 10-city Index 151.4 -18.6
Composite 20-city Index 140.0 -18.7

Source: Standard & Poors

Analysis

The Case-Shiller indices fell at a slower pace in March then in February but not by much.  On a quarterly basis, the 20 city index fell by a record 19.1 percent in the first quarter of this year compared to a year earlier. In contrast, the index fell by 18.2 percent  in the fourth quarter compared to a year earlier. This was a disappointing report given that we were expecting some improvement in price declines.

Phoenix, Las Vegas and San Francisco experienced the largest price losses in March, registering a negative 36.0 percent, 31.2 percent and 30.1 percent, respectively. Conversely, Denver, Dallas and Boston experienced the smallest price losses in March, registering a negative 5.5 percent, 5.6 percent and 8.0 percent, respectively.

It is clear that the pace of home value deterioration remains severe. Excess supply of both existing and new homes combined with the steady flow of foreclosure properties into inventory, promise to exert downward pressure on home values during the next several quarters.

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