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Millions of New Households Await Better Times

 

Stagnant incomes and rising rents have left the nation with an unprecedented number of doubled-up households as people moved in together to make ends meet. All those roommates have changed the American housing landscape, with 5.4 million households that would exist under normal conditions instead lost in guestrooms and basements, sharing space with friends, family and roommates, waiting for better economic times, according to an analysis by Zillow.

More than a third of working adults are living in doubled-up households, driving the median household size up to 1.83 adults in 2012 from 1.75 in 2000. The phenomenon is concentrated in markets where rent has most outpaced income, notably in California and Florida. Many Americans moved in together as housing costs outpaced income over the last decade, resulting in fewer households; if these doubled-up households divide, housing demand will pick up, according to Zillow

- More than a third of U.S. adults were living with roommates or adult family members in 2012, up from 25.4 percent in 2000.

- Household size has risen from 1.75 adults in 2000 to 1.83 adults in 2012.

- In all, the U.S. lost 5.4 million households to doubling up.

- The most potential new households are in places where rent has skyrocketed during the housing recovery, such as some large markets in California and Florida

In the Riverside, Calif. metro area, under normal conditions, there would be 12.6 percent more households. In the Miami metro, more than 230,000 households – 11.3 percent more households than currently exist – were lost as people doubled up.

As the housing market becomes friendlier for buyers and the economic recovery continues, those lost households could represent a significant source of pent-up demand in the market as they begin to look for a new place to live.

“The rise in doubled-up households is a troubling sign of the times and starkly illustrates one of the prime drivers behind weak home sales these days,” said Zillow® Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries. “But there is a silver lining behind this data. Like a coiled spring, all of these doubled-up households represent tremendous potential energy for the market. If and when these compressed households begin to unwind and these millions of Americans do start to create their own households, demand will bounce back, possibly even causing household growth to outpace population growth. That added demand will, in turn, create more incentive for builders to construct more homes, and will help unblock the market. There is no magic bullet, but continued home affordability, an increasing supply of both for-rent and for-sale homes and the potential for incomes to grow more quickly as the economy recovers will all help the market to realize this potential.”

The median income of adults in doubled-up households in the U.S. has risen over time, from a median of $24,000 in 2000 to $29,000 in 2012ii, but people in doubled-up households have incomes that, increasingly, lag behind median incomes overall. On average, doubled-up adults make 76 percent of the median income of people without roommates, which means it can take longer to save up for a down payment or deposit on a place of their own.

Metro Area Share of adults doubled up households, 2000 Share of adults in doubled up households, 2012 Median Individual Income of Employed Adults Living in a Doubled Up Household, 2000 Median Individual Income of Employed Adults Living in a Doubled Up Household, 2012 Number of households gained if average number of adults per household returned to 2000 levels
United States 25.4% 32.0% $24,000 $29,000 5,405,509
New York 37.3% 42.4% $28,070 $35,000 300,666
Los Angeles 41.2% 47.9% $22,000 $27,000 315,473
Chicago 30.9% 35.5% $26,300 $30,000 138,728
Dallas-Fort Worth 25.2% 30.7% $22,800 $28,000 131,555
Philadelphia 27.9% 35.2% $28,000 $34,000 114,931
Washington 30.0% 36.6% $30,000 $37,000 144,116
Miami-Fort Lauderdale 34.7% 44.5% $22,000 $25,000 232,895
Atlanta 28.4% 33.3% $25,000 $27,000 93,690
Boston 29.0% 33.4% $30,000 $37,000 56,699
San Francisco 35.9% 39.2% $30,000 $35,000 84,759
Detroit 26.4% 32.6% $27,000 $30,000 55,039
Riverside 31.7% 44.7% $22,000 $28,100 162,474
Phoenix 26.6% 32.9% $23,900 $29,100 75,197
Seattle 22.5% 29.3% $28,000 $32,000 80,078
Minneapolis-St Paul 19.1% 24.6% $28,000 $30,010 46,913
San Diego 32.2% 39.7% $24,000 $29,500 89,778
St. Louis 21.4% 27.5% $24,800 $28,900 35,085
Tampa 22.8% 32.1% $22,500 $27,600 78,387
Baltimore 27.4% 34.5% $28,000 $36,000 47,164
Denver 22.7% 27.6% $25,200 $30,000 43,548
Pittsburgh 22.7% 25.1% $23,400 $31,000 11,764
Portland 22.3% 29.4% $24,000 $30,000 46,134
Sacramento 25.3% 34.3% $25,000 $30,000 54,313
Orlando 26.5% 36.3% $22,600 $25,000 79,832
Cincinnati 19.0% 26.5% $25,000 $29,000 41,794
Cleveland 24.1% 28.5% $25,200 $30,000 7,682
Kansas City 19.5% 24.6% $25,000 $30,000 32,875
Las Vegas 31.3% 38.9% $24,000 $30,000 39,282
San Jose 39.6% 39.4% $31,000 $37,500 16,276
Columbus 19.1% 25.8% $25,000 $28,100 45,577
Charlotte 23.4% 29.3% $23,300 $26,000 26,332
Indianapolis 18.9% 26.1% $25,000 $29,000 31,196

 

 

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